Monday evening update is posted, previous discussion continues below.
It's finally here. The first turns of the 2017-18 ski season will be made this week! But before we get there we need to weather some rain tomorrow (Monday) and be patient as the snow guns come online. Looking at who is already in play, expect Killington to be making their first passholder-only turns by the end of the work week, with other early season players coming on board by the end of the weekend. Exciting! Let's break it down day by day.
It's going to be warm and rainy. The end.
The first sub-freezing air hits in the early morning. Maybe a few aggressive ski areas start blowing in the early morning hours, but they'll likely have to temporarily shut down during the day as temperatures climb into the 30s.
Just about at dusk expect the snow guns to go online. We're not talking about ideal snowmaking weather, but it'll get the job done in early November. In northern New England they should be able to make snow top-to-bottom, but that will be an operations decision.
A lot like Tuesday. Guns go off during the day and come back on in the evening hours. For now temperatures look good to go for more top-to-bottom snowmaking that night, though again a shift of a couple degrees makes a huge difference. Once again temperatures will not be ideal, but it'll work if they want it to.
Guns go off at daybreak. It looks like conditions may not be favorable to a return to snowmaking that night. A short wave trough will be swinging through the area. If the current model solutions play out, look for two weak low pressure systems to pass to either side of us: one across central Quebec and another out to sea.
With New England between two lows, expect us to be in a trough where winds turn out of the south and humidity rises. The result for us will be marginal at best snowmaking that night.
After the trough passes through New England on Friday, expect temperatures to drop that evening. Sub-freezing temperatures should extend all the way to the coast. Expect anyone and everyone who wants to make snow to do so.
We're still a week out, but it looks favorable for continued snowmaking. Temperatures will likely stay cold enough to allow snowmaking throughout the daylight hours at elevation.
Monday may be a fun day! The next storm system will move through the area. Right now it looks like snow for northern New England. We'll keep an eye on it and let you know more as the time approaches.
The extended period looks favorable as well. It looks like we'll be in a new regime of cooler weather in the East.