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Weatherman

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Everything posted by Weatherman

  1. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    The NWS snowfall maps look about right. We're about what I was expecting yesterday. Back down to Earth.
  2. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    This is the map that catches my attention: That's the mean snowfall from all of the European ensembles. Those are some big numbers for an ensemble mean. But as big as the snow numbers are, that ice forecast would be the main event if this ever materialized.
  3. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    Okay... here is my story. I'm staying quiet on Chasing Snow until I can be more confident with actual numbers. Why am I so nervous? Because we are too far away. Because the upstream energy is still out over the Pacific, there is a lot of uncertainty. My biggest concern right now is the thermal profile. There's going to be plenty of cold air entrenched over Quebec. And plenty of moisture being pumped up from the south. Where the front sets up is the huge question. Some model runs are showing almost comical amounts of freezing rain at the boundary. For example, the latest European model puts out over an inch of freezing rain in places. How much snow are we talking about? Inland of the front, well over a foot. Exact amounts will vary based on things like the track of the storm and temperature profile. Just for fun, let's throw out the latest American model forecast for total accumulation through Monday. The European model is consistent with these general numbers, except it locally shifts them around the map. Hopefully you can see why I am going to sit on my hands. I'd be crazy to start announcing these kind of numbers four days in advance. Odds are these numbers will come down. Regression to the mean.
  4. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    I'm debating what to do about a blog post. I'm not ready yet to put forecast totals out there. It's premature for that. I am confident in a juicy storm, but that's where the confidence stops. Yes, it could be big.
  5. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    My expectation is that the Cat will spin.
  6. Has everyone been following the issues with the Attitash triple? I'm surprised nobody has mentioned it yet. That lift even has it's on blog now. The lift broke on December 17 and is still down again as of today, January 2. https://www.attitash.com/blog/lifts/summit/
  7. Weatherman

    2019 car thread

    Took the car in for battery and alternator testing. Both were fine. Sad.
  8. Weatherman

    2019 car thread

    I'm leaning in that direction. They said that they were confident it was just a software problem, but if the problem persisted it would require a new 4WD ECU. Well the software update fixed nothing.
  9. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    I'm starting to get excited. Friday looks like. Sunday looks like the main event. Still too far out for details, but a Chasing Snow post will be coming this week. But where do I go this weekend? So many options! Looking at my ticket supply and cross-correlating with blackouts... Black (NH) Sunday River Shawnee Peak Cranmore Crotched Attitash Wildcat Bretton Woods Cannon Middlebury Stowe Jay Peak Damn. Time to start burning tickets.
  10. Weatherman

    Saturday 1/12. Middlebury College Snow Bowl

    You're convincing me to go this season. I've got a couple tickets for the place. May tag it onto a Stowe trip. Better start making plans!
  11. Weatherman

    Attitash triple

    You're absolutely right. And the fact that they repaired this lift makes me sad. I have to imagine they'll consider the issue closed. If this mess doesn't catalyze a new lift install, I don't think anything short of a catastrophic accident with injuries would do it.
  12. Weatherman

    Caturday 1/12

    Wind scraped it clean? All the snow in the woods?
  13. Weatherman

    MLK weekend snow?

    Something? Sure. Lots of uncertainty though. I’ll hopefully have a post when things are clearer. Sent from my iPhone using Northeast Mountain Sports
  14. Sugarbush - Saturday, 1/12 MRG - Sunday, 1/13 I'm staying at the Mad River Barn this weekend with the wife. Hit me up if anyone is around.
  15. Weatherman

    The Sugarbush Thread

    Cold today. Only got 5 runs, maybe even 3 depending on how you count. Wife had a bad day and was complaining constantly about being tortured and not feeling her feet. I didn't think it was that bad, but I was prepared.
  16. Weatherman

    The Sugarbush Thread

    Which side you going to? I’ll be there Sent from my iPhone using Northeast Mountain Sports
  17. Weatherman

    Attitash triple

    They are probably grooming it out. It's had whales on it for a couple of weeks now. To their credit, Attitash left the whales for people to play on. Kudos to them.
  18. Weatherman

    Roll Call - Jan 11-13, 2019

    Hit me up! We'll be at MRG on Sunday. Our second time.
  19. Weatherman

    January - General Weather Thread

    I'm not seeing much until next week. Looking forward to MLK weekend, I'm debating where to go. Options are northern VT or back to the MWV. I am surprised that almost nothing is blacked out for me next week.
  20. Weatherman

    Roll Call - Jan 11-13, 2019

    Yeah, the bar is the single greatest attribute of Magic. I get bar envy when I visit. Lift envy not so much.
  21. Weatherman

    Killington Conditions

    In my (limited) experience the best snow is always in the South Ridge area.
  22. Weatherman

    1/7 - 1/9 - Storm

    Nope. Haters gonna hate. Wouldn't want them to experience such fun anyways.
  23. Weatherman

    Crotched ARL. 1/9

    No. I didn't see anything besides that cheap hat. I'm guessing they lost shop sponsorship. Sad!
  24. Weatherman

    Crotched ARL. 1/9

    I thought the snow was surprisingly good. Grippy enough to lay in an edge. But I had fresh edges with fairly new skis.

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